Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate high pressure and light southerly flow will bring mostly sunny conditions to London on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These forecasts have driven the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes, with modest probability on 23 °C reflecting possible timing of any afternoon cloud or slight cooling from variable winds. Historical September maxima average around 19–20 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent anticyclonic setup rather than typical seasonal patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 22?
Highest temperature in London on September 22?
25°C 37%
24°C 35%
23°C 20%
26°C or higher 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
35%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
11%
25°C 37%
24°C 35%
23°C 20%
26°C or higher 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
2%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C
$50 Wol.
3%
21°C
$58 Wol.
5%
22°C
$398 Wol.
5%
23°C
$761 Wol.
20%
24°C
$502 Wol.
35%
25°C
$1,591 Wol.
37%
26°C or higher
$350 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate high pressure and light southerly flow will bring mostly sunny conditions to London on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These forecasts have driven the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes, with modest probability on 23 °C reflecting possible timing of any afternoon cloud or slight cooling from variable winds. Historical September maxima average around 19–20 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent anticyclonic setup rather than typical seasonal patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,709Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate high pressure and light southerly flow will bring mostly sunny conditions to London on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These forecasts have driven the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes, with modest probability on 23 °C reflecting possible timing of any afternoon cloud or slight cooling from variable winds. Historical September maxima average around 19–20 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent anticyclonic setup rather than typical seasonal patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,709Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate high pressure and light southerly flow will bring mostly sunny conditions to London on September 22, supporting maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These forecasts have driven the close market-implied odds between those two outcomes, with modest probability on 23 °C reflecting possible timing of any afternoon cloud or slight cooling from variable winds. Historical September maxima average around 19–20 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent anticyclonic setup rather than typical seasonal patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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