Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 22?
32°C 43%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
29°C 22%
28°C or below
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
29°C 22%
28°C or below
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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