Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with moderate rainfall are limiting daytime heating across Tokyo for September 19, keeping forecast highs clustered near 24–26°C according to current model consensus. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer conditions, while steering patterns favor continued moisture from upstream systems. Market-implied odds tightly bunched at 24°C (28%), 25°C (28.5%), and 26°C (29.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing minor timing differences in rain onset versus any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as JMA will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 19?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19?
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 25%
23°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
28%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 25%
23°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$361 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
3%
22°C
$0 Wol.
6%
23°C
$125 Wol.
22%
24°C
$17 Wol.
28%
25°C
$3 Wol.
25%
26°C
$25 Wol.
25%
27°C
$9 Wol.
8%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with moderate rainfall are limiting daytime heating across Tokyo for September 19, keeping forecast highs clustered near 24–26°C according to current model consensus. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer conditions, while steering patterns favor continued moisture from upstream systems. Market-implied odds tightly bunched at 24°C (28%), 25°C (28.5%), and 26°C (29.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing minor timing differences in rain onset versus any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as JMA will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$540Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with moderate rainfall are limiting daytime heating across Tokyo for September 19, keeping forecast highs clustered near 24–26°C according to current model consensus. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer conditions, while steering patterns favor continued moisture from upstream systems. Market-implied odds tightly bunched at 24°C (28%), 25°C (28.5%), and 26°C (29.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing minor timing differences in rain onset versus any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as JMA will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$540Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with moderate rainfall are limiting daytime heating across Tokyo for September 19, keeping forecast highs clustered near 24–26°C according to current model consensus. High humidity and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress peak temperatures relative to clearer conditions, while steering patterns favor continued moisture from upstream systems. Market-implied odds tightly bunched at 24°C (28%), 25°C (28.5%), and 26°C (29.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighing minor timing differences in rain onset versus any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as JMA will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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