Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 20, indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on September 22 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating, combined with very low humidity and negligible cloud cover, supports this range and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes. Historical September baselines near 27°C highlight the current anomaly, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on intensification or steering. Traders will monitor the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or advection before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
34°C 58%
33°C 35%
36°C 7%
35°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
35%
34°C
58%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 58%
33°C 35%
36°C 7%
35°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
6%
32°C
$17 Wol.
5%
33°C
$8 Wol.
35%
34°C
$85 Wol.
58%
35°C
$0 Wol.
7%
36°C
$0 Wol.
7%
37°C
$0 Wol.
5%
38°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 20, indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on September 22 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating, combined with very low humidity and negligible cloud cover, supports this range and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes. Historical September baselines near 27°C highlight the current anomaly, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on intensification or steering. Traders will monitor the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or advection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$121Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 20, indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on September 22 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating, combined with very low humidity and negligible cloud cover, supports this range and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes. Historical September baselines near 27°C highlight the current anomaly, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on intensification or steering. Traders will monitor the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or advection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$121Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 20, indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum of 32–33°C on September 22 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating, combined with very low humidity and negligible cloud cover, supports this range and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes. Historical September baselines near 27°C highlight the current anomaly, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on intensification or steering. Traders will monitor the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or advection before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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