Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
32°C 45%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
45%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 45%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$5 Wol.
2%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
6%
31°C
$0 Wol.
12%
32°C
$562 Wol.
45%
33°C
$0 Wol.
27%
34°C
$0 Wol.
12%
35°C
$0 Wol.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$577Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$577Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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