Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 76–78°F in Miami on September 21 amid persistent high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that reduce radiational cooling. These conditions align with the historical September average low of roughly 77°F at Miami International Airport, where elevated moisture and frequent cloud cover typically limit temperature drops. Light southerly winds and the absence of any approaching cold front or drier air mass further support this narrow range, explaining why the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins currently hold the highest market-implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and local briefings over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 21?
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Wol.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
26%
76-77°F
$72 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
11%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 76–78°F in Miami on September 21 amid persistent high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that reduce radiational cooling. These conditions align with the historical September average low of roughly 77°F at Miami International Airport, where elevated moisture and frequent cloud cover typically limit temperature drops. Light southerly winds and the absence of any approaching cold front or drier air mass further support this narrow range, explaining why the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins currently hold the highest market-implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and local briefings over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$72Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 76–78°F in Miami on September 21 amid persistent high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that reduce radiational cooling. These conditions align with the historical September average low of roughly 77°F at Miami International Airport, where elevated moisture and frequent cloud cover typically limit temperature drops. Light southerly winds and the absence of any approaching cold front or drier air mass further support this narrow range, explaining why the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins currently hold the highest market-implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and local briefings over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$72Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 76–78°F in Miami on September 21 amid persistent high humidity and scattered thunderstorms that reduce radiational cooling. These conditions align with the historical September average low of roughly 77°F at Miami International Airport, where elevated moisture and frequent cloud cover typically limit temperature drops. Light southerly winds and the absence of any approaching cold front or drier air mass further support this narrow range, explaining why the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins currently hold the highest market-implied probabilities. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and local briefings over the next 48 hours that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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