Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 21 points to a high in the mid-90s, with most guidance clustered between 94–97 °F amid a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Southerly flow and elevated dew points near 70 °F will support heat indices above 105 °F early in the day before a wind shift to northerly directions limits further warming and introduces modest mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–97 °F bins, as small differences in timing of the frontal passage or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical late-September averages near 88 °F underscore the anomalous warmth still in place, though the approaching change in steering pattern introduces the primary uncertainty for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
94-95°F 32%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
85°F or below
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
3%
104°F or higher
2%
94-95°F 32%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
85°F or below
$0 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
5%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
7%
90-91°F
$96 Wol.
15%
92-93°F
$88 Wol.
31%
94-95°F
$379 Wol.
32%
96-97°F
$383 Wol.
23%
98-99°F
$76 Wol.
6%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
11%
102-103°F
$0 Wol.
3%
104°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 21 points to a high in the mid-90s, with most guidance clustered between 94–97 °F amid a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Southerly flow and elevated dew points near 70 °F will support heat indices above 105 °F early in the day before a wind shift to northerly directions limits further warming and introduces modest mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–97 °F bins, as small differences in timing of the frontal passage or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical late-September averages near 88 °F underscore the anomalous warmth still in place, though the approaching change in steering pattern introduces the primary uncertainty for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,021Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 21 points to a high in the mid-90s, with most guidance clustered between 94–97 °F amid a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Southerly flow and elevated dew points near 70 °F will support heat indices above 105 °F early in the day before a wind shift to northerly directions limits further warming and introduces modest mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–97 °F bins, as small differences in timing of the frontal passage or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical late-September averages near 88 °F underscore the anomalous warmth still in place, though the approaching change in steering pattern introduces the primary uncertainty for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,021Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on September 21 points to a high in the mid-90s, with most guidance clustered between 94–97 °F amid a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Southerly flow and elevated dew points near 70 °F will support heat indices above 105 °F early in the day before a wind shift to northerly directions limits further warming and introduces modest mixing. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–97 °F bins, as small differences in timing of the frontal passage or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical late-September averages near 88 °F underscore the anomalous warmth still in place, though the approaching change in steering pattern introduces the primary uncertainty for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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