Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate an overnight low of 76°F on September 21, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow transitioning to northeast winds and 20-50% thunderstorm chances that limit radiational cooling. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, ahead of cooler 74-75°F outcomes, as model consensus from GFS and local observations shows temperatures remaining above the historical September 21 average low near 68°F. Persistent dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s and cloud cover further support minimal overnight drops, though any stronger convection could introduce slight downward variance. Traders will monitor updated NWS area forecast matrices and hourly observations through the night for resolution signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 20%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
3%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 20%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate an overnight low of 76°F on September 21, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southerly flow transitioning to northeast winds and 20-50% thunderstorm chances that limit radiational cooling. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, ahead of cooler 74-75°F outcomes, as model consensus from GFS and local observations shows temperatures remaining above the historical September 21 average low near 68°F. Persistent dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s and cloud cover further support minimal overnight drops, though any stronger convection could introduce slight downward variance. Traders will monitor updated NWS area forecast matrices and hourly observations through the night for resolution signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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