Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 60-70%, and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Historical baselines show September highs averaging 31°C, with recent observations from the prior day reaching 33.6°C before cooling trends set in. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 32°C aligns with this evidence while acknowledging minor model spread; a stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and precipitation chances make that unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$36,861 Wol.
$36,861 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$36,861 Wol.
$36,861 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$429 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,089 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,887 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,852 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$13,475 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$4,242 Wol.
95%
33°C
$3,889 Wol.
6%
34°C
$3,317 Wol.
2%
35°C
$1,510 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$726 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,565 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 60-70%, and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Historical baselines show September highs averaging 31°C, with recent observations from the prior day reaching 33.6°C before cooling trends set in. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 32°C aligns with this evidence while acknowledging minor model spread; a stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and precipitation chances make that unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,861Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 60-70%, and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Historical baselines show September highs averaging 31°C, with recent observations from the prior day reaching 33.6°C before cooling trends set in. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 32°C aligns with this evidence while acknowledging minor model spread; a stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and precipitation chances make that unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$36,861Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international outlets, converge on a daily maximum of 32°C for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 60-70%, and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation. Historical baselines show September highs averaging 31°C, with recent observations from the prior day reaching 33.6°C before cooling trends set in. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 32°C aligns with this evidence while acknowledging minor model spread; a stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clear skies could push readings to 33°C, though current steering patterns and precipitation chances make that unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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