**Forecast consensus from official Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 11, driven by increasing cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures peaking near 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around that mark. Trader sentiment has priced 27°C and 28°C as the most likely outcomes (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting modest uncertainty over whether clearer breaks or model revisions could add 1–2°C. Key resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded by local stations, with fresh guidance expected overnight and early on the 11th that could shift odds if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from the baseline projection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
27°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
37%
28°C
30%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$141 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$195 Wol.
2%
25°C
$359 Wol.
3%
26°C
$706 Wol.
15%
27°C
$793 Wol.
37%
28°C
$841 Wol.
30%
29°C
$38 Wol.
9%
30°C
$151 Wol.
4%
31°C or higher
$42 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 11, driven by increasing cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures peaking near 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around that mark. Trader sentiment has priced 27°C and 28°C as the most likely outcomes (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting modest uncertainty over whether clearer breaks or model revisions could add 1–2°C. Key resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded by local stations, with fresh guidance expected overnight and early on the 11th that could shift odds if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from the baseline projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,546Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 11, driven by increasing cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures peaking near 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around that mark. Trader sentiment has priced 27°C and 28°C as the most likely outcomes (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting modest uncertainty over whether clearer breaks or model revisions could add 1–2°C. Key resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded by local stations, with fresh guidance expected overnight and early on the 11th that could shift odds if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from the baseline projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,546Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and international models centers on a 25–26°C high for Qingdao on September 11, driven by increasing cloud cover and light southerly flow that limits daytime heating.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with temperatures peaking near 25°C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around that mark. Trader sentiment has priced 27°C and 28°C as the most likely outcomes (combined ~66% implied probability), reflecting modest uncertainty over whether clearer breaks or model revisions could add 1–2°C. Key resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded by local stations, with fresh guidance expected overnight and early on the 11th that could shift odds if cloud trends or wind shifts deviate from the baseline projection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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