**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, with current forecasts pointing to a minimum near 16–17°C.** Multiple models show dew points in the 4–8°C range and minimal cloud cover overnight, conditions that typically allow temperatures to drop close to the climatological average low of 16°C for September 12 while limiting deeper cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-model adjustments to wind or humidity before the daily minimum is recorded. Historical data indicate that similar early-autumn anticyclonic setups have produced lows from the mid-teens down to single digits only under stronger cold advection, which is absent here. Official observations from AEMET stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
11°C or below 98%
13°C 95%
12°C 90%
14°C 51%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
11°C or below
98%
12°C
90%
13°C
95%
14°C
51%
15°C
51%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
11°C or below 98%
13°C 95%
12°C 90%
14°C 51%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
98%
12°C
$0 Wol.
90%
13°C
$0 Wol.
95%
14°C
$4 Wol.
51%
15°C
$0 Wol.
51%
16°C
$101 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$65 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$65 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, with current forecasts pointing to a minimum near 16–17°C.** Multiple models show dew points in the 4–8°C range and minimal cloud cover overnight, conditions that typically allow temperatures to drop close to the climatological average low of 16°C for September 12 while limiting deeper cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-model adjustments to wind or humidity before the daily minimum is recorded. Historical data indicate that similar early-autumn anticyclonic setups have produced lows from the mid-teens down to single digits only under stronger cold advection, which is absent here. Official observations from AEMET stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$255Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, with current forecasts pointing to a minimum near 16–17°C.** Multiple models show dew points in the 4–8°C range and minimal cloud cover overnight, conditions that typically allow temperatures to drop close to the climatological average low of 16°C for September 12 while limiting deeper cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-model adjustments to wind or humidity before the daily minimum is recorded. Historical data indicate that similar early-autumn anticyclonic setups have produced lows from the mid-teens down to single digits only under stronger cold advection, which is absent here. Official observations from AEMET stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$255Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, with current forecasts pointing to a minimum near 16–17°C.** Multiple models show dew points in the 4–8°C range and minimal cloud cover overnight, conditions that typically allow temperatures to drop close to the climatological average low of 16°C for September 12 while limiting deeper cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-model adjustments to wind or humidity before the daily minimum is recorded. Historical data indicate that similar early-autumn anticyclonic setups have produced lows from the mid-teens down to single digits only under stronger cold advection, which is absent here. Official observations from AEMET stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania