Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a sharp overnight cooling trend for Qingdao on September 14, with minimum temperatures expected to reach or fall below 15°C under clear skies and northerly flow. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing advection of cooler air masses, consistent with early autumn patterns where September averages hover near 18°C but recent synoptic shifts have lowered the floor. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C or below reflects strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-range window. A sudden forecast revision from updated runs or localized warming from cloud cover or wind shifts could challenge this outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
15°C or below 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
15°C or below
$41 Wol.
100%
16°C
$56 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$177 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$268 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a sharp overnight cooling trend for Qingdao on September 14, with minimum temperatures expected to reach or fall below 15°C under clear skies and northerly flow. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing advection of cooler air masses, consistent with early autumn patterns where September averages hover near 18°C but recent synoptic shifts have lowered the floor. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C or below reflects strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-range window. A sudden forecast revision from updated runs or localized warming from cloud cover or wind shifts could challenge this outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$739Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a sharp overnight cooling trend for Qingdao on September 14, with minimum temperatures expected to reach or fall below 15°C under clear skies and northerly flow. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing advection of cooler air masses, consistent with early autumn patterns where September averages hover near 18°C but recent synoptic shifts have lowered the floor. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C or below reflects strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-range window. A sudden forecast revision from updated runs or localized warming from cloud cover or wind shifts could challenge this outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$739Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a sharp overnight cooling trend for Qingdao on September 14, with minimum temperatures expected to reach or fall below 15°C under clear skies and northerly flow. This positioning aligns with ensemble guidance showing advection of cooler air masses, consistent with early autumn patterns where September averages hover near 18°C but recent synoptic shifts have lowered the floor. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C or below reflects strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-range window. A sudden forecast revision from updated runs or localized warming from cloud cover or wind shifts could challenge this outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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