Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 26–28°C. Recent model consistency has anchored trader-implied probabilities on these central values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before official Météo-France observations finalize the market. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings will provide the next key data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$103 Wol.
1%
23°C
$5 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C
$118 Wol.
7%
26°C
$821 Wol.
27%
27°C
$299 Wol.
37%
28°C
$666 Wol.
24%
29°C
$521 Wol.
8%
30°C
$80 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
2%
32°C or higher
$118 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 26–28°C. Recent model consistency has anchored trader-implied probabilities on these central values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before official Météo-France observations finalize the market. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,730Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 26–28°C. Recent model consistency has anchored trader-implied probabilities on these central values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before official Météo-France observations finalize the market. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,730Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 26–28°C. Recent model consistency has anchored trader-implied probabilities on these central values, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before official Météo-France observations finalize the market. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings will provide the next key data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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