Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate Munich's September 14 high will likely reach 20–21°C amid an incoming Atlantic front delivering widespread cloud cover, light showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C or 22°C, as rain probability exceeds 70% and suppresses peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 19.8°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 23°C without a faster clearance, while downside risks below 20°C remain if heavier precipitation develops. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have stabilized around these values ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 14?
21°C 38%
22°C 37%
20°C 32%
23°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
38%
22°C
37%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
9%
21°C 38%
22°C 37%
20°C 32%
23°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
15°C
$0 Wol.
4%
16°C
$0 Wol.
4%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$0 Wol.
9%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
32%
21°C
$5 Wol.
38%
22°C
$11 Wol.
37%
23°C
$0 Wol.
27%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate Munich's September 14 high will likely reach 20–21°C amid an incoming Atlantic front delivering widespread cloud cover, light showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C or 22°C, as rain probability exceeds 70% and suppresses peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 19.8°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 23°C without a faster clearance, while downside risks below 20°C remain if heavier precipitation develops. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have stabilized around these values ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$14Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate Munich's September 14 high will likely reach 20–21°C amid an incoming Atlantic front delivering widespread cloud cover, light showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C or 22°C, as rain probability exceeds 70% and suppresses peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 19.8°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 23°C without a faster clearance, while downside risks below 20°C remain if heavier precipitation develops. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have stabilized around these values ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate Munich's September 14 high will likely reach 20–21°C amid an incoming Atlantic front delivering widespread cloud cover, light showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C or 22°C, as rain probability exceeds 70% and suppresses peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 19.8°C. Ensemble spreads show limited upside potential above 23°C without a faster clearance, while downside risks below 20°C remain if heavier precipitation develops. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have stabilized around these values ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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