Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
9°C or below 100%
19°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
100%
10°C
38%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C or higher
98%
9°C or below 100%
19°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
10°C
$0 Wol.
38%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
38%
15°C
$0 Wol.
38%
16°C
$0 Wol.
38%
17°C
$0 Wol.
38%
18°C
$0 Wol.
38%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15 °C on September 14, supported by zonal westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, extensive cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and limited northerly cold-air advection. This consensus places the most probable minimum in the 13–14 °C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 19 °C+ outcomes reflect uncertainty over possible short-term shifts in steering patterns or model spread, though no strong signals currently favor either extreme cold outbreak or anomalous warmth. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any frontal passage alters the thermal profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania