Recent forecast model consensus points to Moscow's minimum temperature on September 14 settling near 9–10°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms. Stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit sharp cooling, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative losses. Traders assign nearly equal weight to sub-5°C extremes versus 15°C+ readings because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or airmass trajectory could push the minimum several degrees either way; clearer conditions would enhance cooling toward the lower bins, whereas increased cloudiness or mild advection would favor milder outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Hydromet Center guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
5°C or below 78%
15°C or higher 78%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
78%
6°C
40%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
78%
5°C or below 78%
15°C or higher 78%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
78%
6°C
$0 Wol.
40%
7°C
$0 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$0 Wol.
22%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
18%
13°C
$0 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
18%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to Moscow's minimum temperature on September 14 settling near 9–10°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms. Stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit sharp cooling, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative losses. Traders assign nearly equal weight to sub-5°C extremes versus 15°C+ readings because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or airmass trajectory could push the minimum several degrees either way; clearer conditions would enhance cooling toward the lower bins, whereas increased cloudiness or mild advection would favor milder outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Hydromet Center guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to Moscow's minimum temperature on September 14 settling near 9–10°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms. Stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit sharp cooling, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative losses. Traders assign nearly equal weight to sub-5°C extremes versus 15°C+ readings because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or airmass trajectory could push the minimum several degrees either way; clearer conditions would enhance cooling toward the lower bins, whereas increased cloudiness or mild advection would favor milder outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Hydromet Center guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to Moscow's minimum temperature on September 14 settling near 9–10°C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms. Stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit sharp cooling, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative losses. Traders assign nearly equal weight to sub-5°C extremes versus 15°C+ readings because small shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or airmass trajectory could push the minimum several degrees either way; clearer conditions would enhance cooling toward the lower bins, whereas increased cloudiness or mild advection would favor milder outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Hydromet Center guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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