Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 12 will likely reach 8–10 °C under westerly winds of 5–11 m/s and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average low of 8.6 °C and supports market-implied odds clustered around 7–9 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could refine trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
5°C 90%
6°C 90%
9°C 53%
4°C or below 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
50%
5°C
90%
6°C
90%
7°C
47%
8°C
45%
9°C
53%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
5°C 90%
6°C 90%
9°C 53%
4°C or below 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
50%
5°C
$0 Wol.
90%
6°C
$0 Wol.
90%
7°C
$30 Wol.
47%
8°C
$23 Wol.
45%
9°C
$0 Wol.
53%
10°C
$182 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 12 will likely reach 8–10 °C under westerly winds of 5–11 m/s and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average low of 8.6 °C and supports market-implied odds clustered around 7–9 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$279Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 12 will likely reach 8–10 °C under westerly winds of 5–11 m/s and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average low of 8.6 °C and supports market-implied odds clustered around 7–9 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$279Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 12 will likely reach 8–10 °C under westerly winds of 5–11 m/s and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average low of 8.6 °C and supports market-implied odds clustered around 7–9 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official station readings through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could refine trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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