**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Current conditions and forecast guidance from regional meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the September 12 average low at 24.5°C, and recent model runs plus real-time observations align closely with 25°C rather than cooler outliers. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected nocturnal drop from unforecasted clear skies or a measurement revision at the official station, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight observational consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
25°C 99%
20°C 12.4%
21°C 1.9%
23°C 1.9%
$675 Wol.
$675 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
20°C 12.4%
21°C 1.9%
23°C 1.9%
$675 Wol.
$675 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$63 Wol.
1%
19°C
$45 Wol.
1%
20°C
$15 Wol.
12%
21°C
$33 Wol.
2%
22°C
$87 Wol.
2%
23°C
$93 Wol.
2%
24°C
$72 Wol.
2%
25°C
$166 Wol.
99%
26°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$56 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Current conditions and forecast guidance from regional meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the September 12 average low at 24.5°C, and recent model runs plus real-time observations align closely with 25°C rather than cooler outliers.
Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected nocturnal drop from unforecasted clear skies or a measurement revision at the official station, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$675Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Current conditions and forecast guidance from regional meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the September 12 average low at 24.5°C, and recent model runs plus real-time observations align closely with 25°C rather than cooler outliers.
Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected nocturnal drop from unforecasted clear skies or a measurement revision at the official station, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$675Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C minimum in Guangzhou on September 12, 2026, with 99% implied probability.** Current conditions and forecast guidance from regional meteorological sources show overnight lows stabilizing near this threshold under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer humidity levels that limit radiative cooling. Historical climatology places the September 12 average low at 24.5°C, and recent model runs plus real-time observations align closely with 25°C rather than cooler outliers. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected nocturnal drop from unforecasted clear skies or a measurement revision at the official station, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight observational consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania