Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 13 amid northeast monsoon flow and a nearby tropical depression over the South China Sea, which is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in radiative cooling overnight: persistent cloud cover and humidity tend to elevate minimums by limiting heat loss, while heavy localized rainfall can produce brief evaporative cooling that lowers them. Trader balance between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes at 41% each reflects model divergence on storm timing and intensity rather than any shift from the seasonal baseline near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely clarify the dominant influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
20°C or below 82%
30°C or higher 82%
25°C 45%
23°C 39%
20°C or below
82%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
82%
20°C or below 82%
30°C or higher 82%
25°C 45%
23°C 39%
20°C or below
82%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 13 amid northeast monsoon flow and a nearby tropical depression over the South China Sea, which is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in radiative cooling overnight: persistent cloud cover and humidity tend to elevate minimums by limiting heat loss, while heavy localized rainfall can produce brief evaporative cooling that lowers them. Trader balance between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes at 41% each reflects model divergence on storm timing and intensity rather than any shift from the seasonal baseline near 24°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from regional meteorological centers over the next 24 hours will likely clarify the dominant influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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