Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow will increase cloud cover and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 10, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. This pattern aligns with historical September climatology under similar wind regimes, where persistent moisture and reduced sunshine typically suppress peaks by 1–3 °C relative to clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 29–31 °C because traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in that narrow band against the small risk of partial clearing that could allow 32 °C. Key resolution inputs remain official Taipei observations; updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will drive further adjustments in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
29°C 21%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
30%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
29°C 21%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
7%
27°C
$0 Wol.
11%
28°C
$0 Wol.
12%
29°C
$14 Wol.
21%
30°C
$21 Wol.
30%
31°C
$41 Wol.
25%
32°C
$17 Wol.
14%
33°C
$0 Wol.
3%
34°C
$25 Wol.
3%
35°C or higher
$215 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow will increase cloud cover and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 10, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. This pattern aligns with historical September climatology under similar wind regimes, where persistent moisture and reduced sunshine typically suppress peaks by 1–3 °C relative to clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 29–31 °C because traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in that narrow band against the small risk of partial clearing that could allow 32 °C. Key resolution inputs remain official Taipei observations; updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will drive further adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$343Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow will increase cloud cover and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 10, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. This pattern aligns with historical September climatology under similar wind regimes, where persistent moisture and reduced sunshine typically suppress peaks by 1–3 °C relative to clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 29–31 °C because traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in that narrow band against the small risk of partial clearing that could allow 32 °C. Key resolution inputs remain official Taipei observations; updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will drive further adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$343Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate strengthening northeasterly monsoon flow will increase cloud cover and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 10, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31 °C. This pattern aligns with historical September climatology under similar wind regimes, where persistent moisture and reduced sunshine typically suppress peaks by 1–3 °C relative to clearer conditions. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 29–31 °C because traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing highs in that narrow band against the small risk of partial clearing that could allow 32 °C. Key resolution inputs remain official Taipei observations; updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will drive further adjustments in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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