**Current forecast consensus from PAGASA and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 31°C in Manila on September 12, shaped by the southwest monsoon delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** High humidity (typically 75–90%) and light to moderate winds further moderate peaks, while sea-breeze effects from Manila Bay add coastal cooling. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with recent sub-seasonal guidance showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions across Luzon. Model outputs vary modestly between 29–32°C depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight market clustering around 30–32°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and final observational data on the day will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 12?
31°C 33%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
33%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 33%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$211 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$44 Wol.
2%
28°C
$108 Wol.
5%
29°C
$9 Wol.
6%
30°C
$161 Wol.
18%
31°C
$12 Wol.
33%
32°C
$0 Wol.
29%
33°C
$0 Wol.
9%
34°C
$0 Wol.
5%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from PAGASA and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 31°C in Manila on September 12, shaped by the southwest monsoon delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** High humidity (typically 75–90%) and light to moderate winds further moderate peaks, while sea-breeze effects from Manila Bay add coastal cooling. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with recent sub-seasonal guidance showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions across Luzon. Model outputs vary modestly between 29–32°C depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight market clustering around 30–32°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and final observational data on the day will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from PAGASA and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 31°C in Manila on September 12, shaped by the southwest monsoon delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** High humidity (typically 75–90%) and light to moderate winds further moderate peaks, while sea-breeze effects from Manila Bay add coastal cooling. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with recent sub-seasonal guidance showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions across Luzon. Model outputs vary modestly between 29–32°C depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight market clustering around 30–32°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and final observational data on the day will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from PAGASA and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 31°C in Manila on September 12, shaped by the southwest monsoon delivering frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** High humidity (typically 75–90%) and light to moderate winds further moderate peaks, while sea-breeze effects from Manila Bay add coastal cooling. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, with recent sub-seasonal guidance showing near-normal to slightly above-average conditions across Luzon. Model outputs vary modestly between 29–32°C depending on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence, creating the tight market clustering around 30–32°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and final observational data on the day will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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