**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow, which aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Coastal location and mid-September climatology (average high ~25–26°C) limit strong warming, while stable high pressure and modest onshore winds suppress both extremes and rapid changes. Recent runs show minimal model spread and negligible precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in a narrow temperature band rather than outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Official station data, expected to resolve the market, will reflect these synoptic conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$10,418 Wol.
NOWE
$10,418 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
35%
27°C
38%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$10,418 Wol.
NOWE
$10,418 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
22°C
$260 Wol.
1%
23°C
$108 Wol.
2%
24°C
$219 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,095 Wol.
10%
26°C
$5,664 Wol.
35%
27°C
$1,953 Wol.
38%
28°C
$408 Wol.
14%
29°C
$196 Wol.
4%
30°C
$136 Wol.
2%
31°C or higher
$378 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow, which aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.**
Coastal location and mid-September climatology (average high ~25–26°C) limit strong warming, while stable high pressure and modest onshore winds suppress both extremes and rapid changes. Recent runs show minimal model spread and negligible precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in a narrow temperature band rather than outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Official station data, expected to resolve the market, will reflect these synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,418Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow, which aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.**
Coastal location and mid-September climatology (average high ~25–26°C) limit strong warming, while stable high pressure and modest onshore winds suppress both extremes and rapid changes. Recent runs show minimal model spread and negligible precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in a narrow temperature band rather than outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Official station data, expected to resolve the market, will reflect these synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,418Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow, which aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Coastal location and mid-September climatology (average high ~25–26°C) limit strong warming, while stable high pressure and modest onshore winds suppress both extremes and rapid changes. Recent runs show minimal model spread and negligible precipitation risk, reinforcing trader confidence in a narrow temperature band rather than outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Official station data, expected to resolve the market, will reflect these synoptic conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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