Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes. Northwest steering patterns and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and suppressing further warming, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 22.1 °C. Light winds and stable high pressure prevent significant advection of warmer air, while any brief afternoon clearing could push readings toward 25 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent stable trends, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or clearer conditions over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?
24°C 35%
23°C 21%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
35%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 35%
23°C 21%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
20°C
$0 Wol.
3%
21°C
$0 Wol.
4%
22°C
$6 Wol.
10%
23°C
$92 Wol.
21%
24°C
$40 Wol.
35%
25°C
$74 Wol.
18%
26°C
$150 Wol.
4%
27°C
$0 Wol.
4%
28°C
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes. Northwest steering patterns and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and suppressing further warming, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 22.1 °C. Light winds and stable high pressure prevent significant advection of warmer air, while any brief afternoon clearing could push readings toward 25 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent stable trends, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or clearer conditions over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$363Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes. Northwest steering patterns and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and suppressing further warming, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 22.1 °C. Light winds and stable high pressure prevent significant advection of warmer air, while any brief afternoon clearing could push readings toward 25 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent stable trends, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or clearer conditions over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$363Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–24 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes. Northwest steering patterns and increasing cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and suppressing further warming, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 22.1 °C. Light winds and stable high pressure prevent significant advection of warmer air, while any brief afternoon clearing could push readings toward 25 °C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus model guidance and recent stable trends, with limited upside risk from stronger ridging or clearer conditions over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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