Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles points to a maximum near 21°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest flow and partly cloudy skies following the frontal passage on September 8 that cleared warmer air. Light winds and limited insolation under these conditions cap warming below the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 21°C and 28% for 22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way; updated runs and station observations from Paris-Le Bourget will refine this ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
21°C 61%
22°C 28%
20°C 12%
19°C 2%
NOWE
$25,842 Wol.
NOWE
$25,842 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
61%
22°C
28%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 61%
22°C 28%
20°C 12%
19°C 2%
NOWE
$25,842 Wol.
NOWE
$25,842 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$2,379 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$359 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$666 Wol.
1%
19°C
$1,150 Wol.
2%
20°C
$2,306 Wol.
12%
21°C
$4,453 Wol.
61%
22°C
$7,189 Wol.
28%
23°C
$2,424 Wol.
2%
24°C
$1,213 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,292 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,410 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles points to a maximum near 21°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest flow and partly cloudy skies following the frontal passage on September 8 that cleared warmer air. Light winds and limited insolation under these conditions cap warming below the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 21°C and 28% for 22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way; updated runs and station observations from Paris-Le Bourget will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,842Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles points to a maximum near 21°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest flow and partly cloudy skies following the frontal passage on September 8 that cleared warmer air. Light winds and limited insolation under these conditions cap warming below the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 21°C and 28% for 22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way; updated runs and station observations from Paris-Le Bourget will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,842Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other ensembles points to a maximum near 21°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest flow and partly cloudy skies following the frontal passage on September 8 that cleared warmer air. Light winds and limited insolation under these conditions cap warming below the 1991–2020 average high of 22.4°C, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 21°C and 28% for 22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way; updated runs and station observations from Paris-Le Bourget will refine this ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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