Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 54–62°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by northwest winds shifting overnight, increased cloud cover reducing radiational cooling initially before partial clearing, and a 20–40% chance of showers that could moderate minimums. Historical averages place the typical low near 60°F, but current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show cooler air advection from the north, elevating the implied probability of readings at or below 53°F to 46.5% while compressing odds for 60°F-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and timing of any frontal passage ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 13?
53°F or below 89%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
58-59°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
53°F or below
89%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
9%
72°F or higher
9%
53°F or below 89%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
58-59°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
53°F or below
$0 Wol.
89%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
39%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
27%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
27%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
22%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
15%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
10%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
9%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
9%
72°F or higher
$0 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 54–62°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by northwest winds shifting overnight, increased cloud cover reducing radiational cooling initially before partial clearing, and a 20–40% chance of showers that could moderate minimums. Historical averages place the typical low near 60°F, but current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show cooler air advection from the north, elevating the implied probability of readings at or below 53°F to 46.5% while compressing odds for 60°F-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and timing of any frontal passage ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 54–62°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by northwest winds shifting overnight, increased cloud cover reducing radiational cooling initially before partial clearing, and a 20–40% chance of showers that could moderate minimums. Historical averages place the typical low near 60°F, but current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show cooler air advection from the north, elevating the implied probability of readings at or below 53°F to 46.5% while compressing odds for 60°F-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and timing of any frontal passage ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low around 54–62°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by northwest winds shifting overnight, increased cloud cover reducing radiational cooling initially before partial clearing, and a 20–40% chance of showers that could moderate minimums. Historical averages place the typical low near 60°F, but current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show cooler air advection from the north, elevating the implied probability of readings at or below 53°F to 46.5% while compressing odds for 60°F-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and timing of any frontal passage ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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