**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.** This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
57°F or below 95%
76°F or higher 93%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
95%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76°F or higher
93%
57°F or below 95%
76°F or higher 93%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Wol.
95%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
22%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
39%
76°F or higher
$0 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.**
This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.**
This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a Saturday, September 12 low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago, driven by southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary, limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and moderating influence from Lake Michigan.** This places the expected minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~60°F. The closely matched market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 76°F-or-higher tails versus the 20% probabilities on middle buckets reflect residual short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any cloud cover, or lake-breeze strength could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and 00Z/12Z model runs will provide the next key data points for traders assessing these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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