**Current forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 12, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two buckets (64-65°F at 43% and 66-67°F at 31.5%).** Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, combined with light southeast winds and dew points in the mid-50s, is expected to limit how far temperatures fall. These conditions prevent strong surface cooling while the moderating influence of the nearby Atlantic keeps readings from dropping into the lower 60s or below. Recent model runs show little change in the steering pattern or air mass, with no significant cold front or high-pressure buildup arriving in time to alter the overnight low substantially. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 62.9°F) provides context, but current guidance sits slightly above that baseline due to the persistent mild flow. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast heavily, as resolution depends on the official Central Park observation. Key upcoming catalysts include the next NHC/NOAA model cycles and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts that could shift the low by 1–2°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 36%
62-63°F 13%
68-69°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 36%
62-63°F 13%
68-69°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$31 Wol.
1%
58-59°F
$31 Wol.
6%
60-61°F
$31 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$211 Wol.
13%
64-65°F
$1,201 Wol.
38%
66-67°F
$1,534 Wol.
36%
68-69°F
$158 Wol.
9%
70-71°F
$81 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$30 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$102 Wol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$36 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 12, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two buckets (64-65°F at 43% and 66-67°F at 31.5%).**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, combined with light southeast winds and dew points in the mid-50s, is expected to limit how far temperatures fall. These conditions prevent strong surface cooling while the moderating influence of the nearby Atlantic keeps readings from dropping into the lower 60s or below. Recent model runs show little change in the steering pattern or air mass, with no significant cold front or high-pressure buildup arriving in time to alter the overnight low substantially.
Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 62.9°F) provides context, but current guidance sits slightly above that baseline due to the persistent mild flow. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast heavily, as resolution depends on the official Central Park observation. Key upcoming catalysts include the next NHC/NOAA model cycles and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts that could shift the low by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,446Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 12, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two buckets (64-65°F at 43% and 66-67°F at 31.5%).**
Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, combined with light southeast winds and dew points in the mid-50s, is expected to limit how far temperatures fall. These conditions prevent strong surface cooling while the moderating influence of the nearby Atlantic keeps readings from dropping into the lower 60s or below. Recent model runs show little change in the steering pattern or air mass, with no significant cold front or high-pressure buildup arriving in time to alter the overnight low substantially.
Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 62.9°F) provides context, but current guidance sits slightly above that baseline due to the persistent mild flow. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast heavily, as resolution depends on the official Central Park observation. Key upcoming catalysts include the next NHC/NOAA model cycles and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts that could shift the low by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,446Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from NWS and major models points to a minimum temperature in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 12, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top two buckets (64-65°F at 43% and 66-67°F at 31.5%).** Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, combined with light southeast winds and dew points in the mid-50s, is expected to limit how far temperatures fall. These conditions prevent strong surface cooling while the moderating influence of the nearby Atlantic keeps readings from dropping into the lower 60s or below. Recent model runs show little change in the steering pattern or air mass, with no significant cold front or high-pressure buildup arriving in time to alter the overnight low substantially. Historical climatology (1991–2020 average low of 62.9°F) provides context, but current guidance sits slightly above that baseline due to the persistent mild flow. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast heavily, as resolution depends on the official Central Park observation. Key upcoming catalysts include the next NHC/NOAA model cycles and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts that could shift the low by 1–2°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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