Recent meteorological observations and forecast models for Milan indicate a peak temperature near 25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation, supporting the market's strong 68.5% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the Po Valley typically features moderating highs after early-month warmth, and current data from sources including hourly readings and ensemble guidance show afternoon maxima clustering between 24–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. The modest 23% odds on 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and any late-day cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below align with confirmed warming trends in updated model runs. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on September 11?
25°C 62%
24°C 23%
26°C 17%
27°C 2%
$37,367 Wol.
$37,367 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
23%
25°C
62%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 62%
24°C 23%
26°C 17%
27°C 2%
$37,367 Wol.
$37,367 Wol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
23%
25°C
62%
26°C
17%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models for Milan indicate a peak temperature near 25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation, supporting the market's strong 68.5% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology in the Po Valley typically features moderating highs after early-month warmth, and current data from sources including hourly readings and ensemble guidance show afternoon maxima clustering between 24–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. The modest 23% odds on 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer heating and any late-day cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below align with confirmed warming trends in updated model runs. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings from local stations by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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