Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami's overnight low on September 12 centered near 79–81°F, aligning with trader consensus around the 80–81°F bin at 36% implied probability. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, combined with typical September humidity and light easterly flow, limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated relative to historical averages of 76–78°F. Short-range guidance from the GFS and ECMWF runs exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences, while longer-term ensembles indicate low odds below 76°F. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 12?
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
15%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Wol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
28%
78-79°F
$102 Wol.
34%
80-81°F
$80 Wol.
36%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
16%
84-85°F
$30 Wol.
18%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$35 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$35 Wol.
1%
92°F or higher
$35 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami's overnight low on September 12 centered near 79–81°F, aligning with trader consensus around the 80–81°F bin at 36% implied probability. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, combined with typical September humidity and light easterly flow, limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated relative to historical averages of 76–78°F. Short-range guidance from the GFS and ECMWF runs exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences, while longer-term ensembles indicate low odds below 76°F. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$317Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami's overnight low on September 12 centered near 79–81°F, aligning with trader consensus around the 80–81°F bin at 36% implied probability. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, combined with typical September humidity and light easterly flow, limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated relative to historical averages of 76–78°F. Short-range guidance from the GFS and ECMWF runs exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences, while longer-term ensembles indicate low odds below 76°F. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$317Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami's overnight low on September 12 centered near 79–81°F, aligning with trader consensus around the 80–81°F bin at 36% implied probability. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F, combined with typical September humidity and light easterly flow, limit radiative cooling and keep minimums elevated relative to historical averages of 76–78°F. Short-range guidance from the GFS and ECMWF runs exhibits modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible weak frontal influences, while longer-term ensembles indicate low odds below 76°F. Updated model cycles and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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