Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s under clear skies, southerly flow, and high dew points near 74°F, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent heat and humidity from a strong subtropical ridge have kept recent minima well above the 71.5°F September 12 climatological average, with model consensus showing limited overnight drops despite calm winds. These conditions create tight differentiation among bins near 76–79°F, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Traders are weighting official guidance and recent observations heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around precise threshold resolution rather than any major forecast shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
71°F or below 100%
74-75°F 94%
76-77°F 49%
72-73°F 6%
71°F or below
100%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
94%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 100%
74-75°F 94%
76-77°F 49%
72-73°F 6%
71°F or below
100%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
94%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate overnight lows in the upper 70s under clear skies, southerly flow, and high dew points near 74°F, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent heat and humidity from a strong subtropical ridge have kept recent minima well above the 71.5°F September 12 climatological average, with model consensus showing limited overnight drops despite calm winds. These conditions create tight differentiation among bins near 76–79°F, as small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the exact minimum by a few degrees. Traders are weighting official guidance and recent observations heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around precise threshold resolution rather than any major forecast shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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