Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's August 3 high will likely reach 30–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting daytime heating. Recent ensemble runs show modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping extremes above 34°C or below 29°C less probable. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability in peak readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because traders weigh these uncertainties against official station data thresholds, with new model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 3?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 3?
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
29%
32°C
14%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
3%
27°C
$11 Wol.
9%
28°C
$0 Wol.
9%
29°C
$5 Wol.
13%
30°C
$5 Wol.
25%
31°C
$5 Wol.
29%
32°C
$8 Wol.
14%
33°C
$5 Wol.
8%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's August 3 high will likely reach 30–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting daytime heating. Recent ensemble runs show modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping extremes above 34°C or below 29°C less probable. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability in peak readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because traders weigh these uncertainties against official station data thresholds, with new model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$39Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's August 3 high will likely reach 30–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting daytime heating. Recent ensemble runs show modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping extremes above 34°C or below 29°C less probable. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability in peak readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because traders weigh these uncertainties against official station data thresholds, with new model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's August 3 high will likely reach 30–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting daytime heating. Recent ensemble runs show modest cooling from cloud cover and precipitation, keeping extremes above 34°C or below 29°C less probable. Historical August climatology places average highs near 32°C, but short-term steering patterns and local urban heat effects introduce variability in peak readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because traders weigh these uncertainties against official station data thresholds, with new model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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