Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended outlooks position the August 3 minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area near 26–27 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies support this range, consistent with climatological August overnight lows averaging 24 °C but elevated by current warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the immediate period, with any brief cloud cover or light winds unlikely to drop readings below 25 °C or push them above 28 °C. Updated KMA short-range products and next model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
26°C 53%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
24%
26°C
53%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 53%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$29 Wol.
2%
23°C
$23 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
13%
25°C
$0 Wol.
24%
26°C
$20 Wol.
53%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$0 Wol.
11%
29°C
$285 Wol.
14%
30°C
$32 Wol.
2%
31°C
$32 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$32 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended outlooks position the August 3 minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area near 26–27 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies support this range, consistent with climatological August overnight lows averaging 24 °C but elevated by current warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the immediate period, with any brief cloud cover or light winds unlikely to drop readings below 25 °C or push them above 28 °C. Updated KMA short-range products and next model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$453Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended outlooks position the August 3 minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area near 26–27 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies support this range, consistent with climatological August overnight lows averaging 24 °C but elevated by current warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the immediate period, with any brief cloud cover or light winds unlikely to drop readings below 25 °C or push them above 28 °C. Updated KMA short-range products and next model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$453Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and extended outlooks position the August 3 minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area near 26–27 °C, driving the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies support this range, consistent with climatological August overnight lows averaging 24 °C but elevated by current warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the immediate period, with any brief cloud cover or light winds unlikely to drop readings below 25 °C or push them above 28 °C. Updated KMA short-range products and next model cycles over the coming 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania