Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 3?
Lowest temperature in London on August 3?
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
20°C 19%
17°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
15%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
19%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
20°C 19%
17°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
$42 Wol.
2%
15°C
$0 Wol.
8%
16°C
$0 Wol.
12%
17°C
$0 Wol.
15%
18°C
$0 Wol.
29%
19°C
$0 Wol.
25%
20°C
$0 Wol.
19%
21°C
$10 Wol.
9%
22°C
$37 Wol.
1%
23°C
$32 Wol.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$120Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$120Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 19°C for London on August 3, aligning with the market's leading 18–19°C outcomes amid above-average summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea surface temperatures have limited overnight radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise lower readings further. El Niño influences and warm air advection from the south add upward pressure on minima. Key differentiators among close probabilities include evolving cloud cover, which traps heat and raises lows, versus clearer skies enabling greater cooling, alongside urban heat island effects and model spread in boundary layer humidity. Updated short-range runs and surface observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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