Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 3?
Highest temperature in London on August 3?
31°C 34%
30°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
$108 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$293 Wol.
1%
27°C
$441 Wol.
1%
28°C
$219 Wol.
5%
29°C
$309 Wol.
16%
30°C
$608 Wol.
34%
31°C
$364 Wol.
34%
32°C
$65 Wol.
15%
33°C
$2,182 Wol.
6%
34°C
$50 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$233 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,873Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,873Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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