Trader consensus around 29–30°C for Manila's August 3 maximum reflects PAGASA's extended outlook showing highs of 29–30°C under active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with 40–60% rain chances moderating daytime heating. August climatology features mean highs near 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while distant tropical cyclone activity can enhance moisture convergence and suppress peaks. Model spreads in monsoon strength and localized convection introduce genuine uncertainty between 28–31°C outcomes. Fresh PAGASA daily briefings and station observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 3?
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
23%
31°C
13%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
25°C
$76 Wol.
1%
26°C
$16 Wol.
9%
27°C
$67 Wol.
14%
28°C
$0 Wol.
24%
29°C
$0 Wol.
30%
30°C
$13 Wol.
23%
31°C
$0 Wol.
13%
32°C
$90 Wol.
2%
33°C
$20 Wol.
3%
34°C or higher
$21 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C for Manila's August 3 maximum reflects PAGASA's extended outlook showing highs of 29–30°C under active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with 40–60% rain chances moderating daytime heating. August climatology features mean highs near 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while distant tropical cyclone activity can enhance moisture convergence and suppress peaks. Model spreads in monsoon strength and localized convection introduce genuine uncertainty between 28–31°C outcomes. Fresh PAGASA daily briefings and station observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C for Manila's August 3 maximum reflects PAGASA's extended outlook showing highs of 29–30°C under active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with 40–60% rain chances moderating daytime heating. August climatology features mean highs near 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while distant tropical cyclone activity can enhance moisture convergence and suppress peaks. Model spreads in monsoon strength and localized convection introduce genuine uncertainty between 28–31°C outcomes. Fresh PAGASA daily briefings and station observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$107Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 29–30°C for Manila's August 3 maximum reflects PAGASA's extended outlook showing highs of 29–30°C under active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow, with 40–60% rain chances moderating daytime heating. August climatology features mean highs near 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while distant tropical cyclone activity can enhance moisture convergence and suppress peaks. Model spreads in monsoon strength and localized convection introduce genuine uncertainty between 28–31°C outcomes. Fresh PAGASA daily briefings and station observations will clarify thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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