Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
10°C 60%
11°C 25%
9°C 12%
12°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
12%
10°C
60%
11°C
25%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 60%
11°C 25%
9°C 12%
12°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
$366 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$639 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$630 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$685 Wol.
2%
9°C
$1,272 Wol.
12%
10°C
$2,292 Wol.
60%
11°C
$1,200 Wol.
25%
12°C
$694 Wol.
3%
13°C
$968 Wol.
2%
14°C
$604 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$448 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,797Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,797Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and international models indicate a daily high of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 1, driven by persistent southerly airflow and lingering cloud cover that limits daytime warming in the region’s mid-winter regime. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across central New Zealand, consistent with typical August climatology of 12°C highs at Wellington. Ensemble guidance shows limited scope for stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that would push readings to 12°C or higher, while colder outliers remain unlikely without a stronger high-pressure system. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania