Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 80-81°F or 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2, driven by numerical weather models indicating a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime heating in the coastal basin. This setup produces typical early-August conditions where the inversion traps cooler marine air, holding maxima near or slightly below long-term averages for the region. Recent National Weather Service model consensus shows minimal warming signals from high pressure or offshore flow, with only modest upside risk reflected in the lower probabilities for 82-83°F or above. Forecasters will release updated guidance and verification data from official stations tomorrow that directly determine market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2?
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 22%
77°F or below 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
77°F or below
15%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 22%
77°F or below 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
77°F or below
$529 Wol.
15%
78-79°F
$208 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$482 Wol.
36%
82-83°F
$328 Wol.
22%
84-85°F
$176 Wol.
7%
86-87°F
$115 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$11 Wol.
2%
90-91°F
$10 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$125 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$125 Wol.
1%
96°F or higher
$125 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 80-81°F or 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2, driven by numerical weather models indicating a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime heating in the coastal basin. This setup produces typical early-August conditions where the inversion traps cooler marine air, holding maxima near or slightly below long-term averages for the region. Recent National Weather Service model consensus shows minimal warming signals from high pressure or offshore flow, with only modest upside risk reflected in the lower probabilities for 82-83°F or above. Forecasters will release updated guidance and verification data from official stations tomorrow that directly determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,233Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 80-81°F or 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2, driven by numerical weather models indicating a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime heating in the coastal basin. This setup produces typical early-August conditions where the inversion traps cooler marine air, holding maxima near or slightly below long-term averages for the region. Recent National Weather Service model consensus shows minimal warming signals from high pressure or offshore flow, with only modest upside risk reflected in the lower probabilities for 82-83°F or above. Forecasters will release updated guidance and verification data from official stations tomorrow that directly determine market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,233Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 80-81°F or 78-79°F as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2, driven by numerical weather models indicating a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime heating in the coastal basin. This setup produces typical early-August conditions where the inversion traps cooler marine air, holding maxima near or slightly below long-term averages for the region. Recent National Weather Service model consensus shows minimal warming signals from high pressure or offshore flow, with only modest upside risk reflected in the lower probabilities for 82-83°F or above. Forecasters will release updated guidance and verification data from official stations tomorrow that directly determine market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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