Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Seattle high of 54-55°F on April 17, anchored by verified observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Cool marine air advection and persistent stratus cloud cover—hallmarks of Pacific Northwest spring patterns—capped daytime heating, with METAR reports peaking near 55°F amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus for below-normal temperatures (April average ~59°F) amid a post-warm spell cooling trend since early April. Post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare, though anomalous sensor glitches could theoretically prompt review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
54-55°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$86,937 Wol.
$86,937 Wol.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$86,937 Wol.
$86,937 Wol.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Seattle high of 54-55°F on April 17, anchored by verified observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Cool marine air advection and persistent stratus cloud cover—hallmarks of Pacific Northwest spring patterns—capped daytime heating, with METAR reports peaking near 55°F amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus for below-normal temperatures (April average ~59°F) amid a post-warm spell cooling trend since early April. Post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare, though anomalous sensor glitches could theoretically prompt review.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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