Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 1?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$261,973 Wol.
$261,973 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$261,973 Wol.
$261,973 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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