Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 21?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,716 Wol.
$70,716 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$70,716 Wol.
$70,716 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
24°C or below
$597 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,375 Wol.
No
26°C
$922 Wol.
No
27°C
$24,003 Wol.
No
28°C
$9,164 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$16,325 Wol.
No
30°C
$7,394 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,054 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,444 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,813 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$2,625 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$70,716Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$70,716Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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