Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Seoul today, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20°C. These conditions align with late-May climatology, where transitional spring patterns often suppress peak temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky expectations. Model consensus across regional guidance reinforces this range, with minimal disagreement on steering flow or instability that could allow stronger afternoon warming. Traders have priced the 20°C outcome at near-certainty because any shift to full sun or drier air before evening would be needed to reach 21°C or higher, an unlikely scenario given current observational data. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station readings remain the key catalysts for potential repricing before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 21?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 21?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$197,122 Wol.
$197,122 Wol.
May 21, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$197,122 Wol.
$197,122 Wol.
May 21, 2026
12°C or below
$11,581 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,863 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,260 Wol.
No
15°C
$3,708 Wol.
No
16°C
$5,687 Wol.
No
17°C
$13,107 Wol.
No
18°C
$34,437 Wol.
No
19°C
$25,971 Wol.
No
20°C
$37,160 Wol.
Yes
21°C
$28,866 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$31,482 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Seoul today, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20°C. These conditions align with late-May climatology, where transitional spring patterns often suppress peak temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky expectations. Model consensus across regional guidance reinforces this range, with minimal disagreement on steering flow or instability that could allow stronger afternoon warming. Traders have priced the 20°C outcome at near-certainty because any shift to full sun or drier air before evening would be needed to reach 21°C or higher, an unlikely scenario given current observational data. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station readings remain the key catalysts for potential repricing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$197,122Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Seoul today, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20°C. These conditions align with late-May climatology, where transitional spring patterns often suppress peak temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky expectations. Model consensus across regional guidance reinforces this range, with minimal disagreement on steering flow or instability that could allow stronger afternoon warming. Traders have priced the 20°C outcome at near-certainty because any shift to full sun or drier air before evening would be needed to reach 21°C or higher, an unlikely scenario given current observational data. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station readings remain the key catalysts for potential repricing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$197,122Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Seoul today, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20°C. These conditions align with late-May climatology, where transitional spring patterns often suppress peak temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky expectations. Model consensus across regional guidance reinforces this range, with minimal disagreement on steering flow or instability that could allow stronger afternoon warming. Traders have priced the 20°C outcome at near-certainty because any shift to full sun or drier air before evening would be needed to reach 21°C or higher, an unlikely scenario given current observational data. Updated KMA briefings and real-time station readings remain the key catalysts for potential repricing before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania