Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 Wol.
$208,827 Wol.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 Wol.
$208,827 Wol.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$980 Wol.
No
11°C
$445 Wol.
No
12°C
$723 Wol.
No
13°C
$9,505 Wol.
No
14°C
$8,320 Wol.
No
15°C
$26,303 Wol.
No
16°C
$23,242 Wol.
No
17°C
$22,329 Wol.
No
18°C
$29,481 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$32,810 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$54,689 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$208,827Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$208,827Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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