Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 14?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$12,710 Wol.
$12,710 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$12,710 Wol.
$12,710 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
$777 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,317 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,557 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,422 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,987 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,640 Wol.
Yes
82-83°F
$1,081 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$919 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$550 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$175 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$285 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,710Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,710Data zakończenia
Jul 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to Miami's July 14 overnight low falling in the 80–87 °F range because National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows a persistent warm, humid air mass with forecast lows near 80–82 °F. Typical July climatology features average lows of 77–78 °F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimum temperatures driven by high dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and light southeast winds. Minor differences among leading bins stem from uncertainty in cloud cover, scattered shower timing, and sea-breeze effects that can shift the final low by a degree or two. New forecast updates from NOAA and local NWS offices tonight will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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