Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 Wol.
$227,692 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 Wol.
$227,692 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
10°C or below
$11,025 Wol.
No
11°C
$3,805 Wol.
No
12°C
$4,181 Wol.
No
13°C
$12,849 Wol.
No
14°C
$22,767 Wol.
No
15°C
$16,813 Wol.
No
16°C
$30,531 Wol.
No
17°C
$43,019 Wol.
No
18°C
$27,031 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$26,833 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$28,838 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$227,692Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$227,692Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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