Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
36°C 34%
37°C 33%
35°C 20%
38°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
20%
36°C
34%
37°C
33%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 34%
37°C 33%
35°C 20%
38°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
31°C or below
$42 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$28 Wol.
1%
33°C
$240 Wol.
2%
34°C
$319 Wol.
3%
35°C
$507 Wol.
20%
36°C
$614 Wol.
34%
37°C
$445 Wol.
33%
38°C
$189 Wol.
14%
39°C
$337 Wol.
2%
40°C
$180 Wol.
1%
41°C or higher
$36 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,936Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,936Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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