Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 Wol.
$100,452 Wol.
Apr 25, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 Wol.
$100,452 Wol.
Apr 25, 2026
21°C or below
$3,193 Wol.
No
22°C
$9,118 Wol.
No
23°C
$7,152 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,463 Wol.
No
25°C
$11,379 Wol.
No
26°C
$11,972 Wol.
No
27°C
$23,870 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$9,588 Wol.
No
29°C
$6,788 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,369 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,560 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$100,452Data zakończenia
Apr 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$100,452Data zakończenia
Apr 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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