Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 28?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 Wol.
$70,950 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$70,950 Wol.
$70,950 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm today's maximum temperature peaked at 29°C around midday, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, showers, and thunderstorms, as warned by local meteorological authorities including the China Meteorological Administration, suppressed solar insolation and prevented further warming despite late-April climatological norms of 27–28°C highs in the subtropical region. Evening readings near 26°C further solidify this positioning. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst or preliminary data revision upon final audit, appear improbable given the day's convective activity and declining temperatures. Watch for Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's end-of-day summary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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