Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
18%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
32°C 35%
33°C 24%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
18%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models indicates a maximum temperature near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 7, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected to develop midday. Convective activity could suppress peaks through cloud cover and rainfall, while breaks in activity or localized heating might allow brief rises toward 33°C. Official guidance highlights typical early-September variability in the Pearl River Delta, where afternoon instability often determines whether highs reach or fall short of 32°C thresholds. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 34.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this model consensus amid moderate uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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