Latest forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Meteorological Service Singapore guidance, position the July 18 daily maximum near 32°C as the modal outcome, with trader probabilities clustered around 31–33°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection timing. Southwest monsoon flow favors scattered thundery showers that can limit peak solar heating, though breaks in cloud cover or reduced rainfall could push readings to 33°C or briefly higher. Above-normal July temperatures tied to emerging El Niño influences provide a warm baseline, consistent with recent station highs near 32.7°C, while typical July climatology centers on 31–32°C maxima. Updated model runs and official nowcasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on July 18?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,442 Wol.
$81,442 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,442 Wol.
$81,442 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest forecasts from global and regional models, aligned with Meteorological Service Singapore guidance, position the July 18 daily maximum near 32°C as the modal outcome, with trader probabilities clustered around 31–33°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection timing. Southwest monsoon flow favors scattered thundery showers that can limit peak solar heating, though breaks in cloud cover or reduced rainfall could push readings to 33°C or briefly higher. Above-normal July temperatures tied to emerging El Niño influences provide a warm baseline, consistent with recent station highs near 32.7°C, while typical July climatology centers on 31–32°C maxima. Updated model runs and official nowcasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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