Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore tracks daily maxima near the 31–33°C climatological July range under prevailing Southwest Monsoon flow, with southeasterly winds and maritime moderation keeping extremes rare. Recent subseasonal guidance highlights warmer-than-average conditions across the western Maritime Continent alongside continued afternoon thundery showers that can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus therefore centers probabilities on 32°C and 33°C, with smaller shares for 31°C reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours. El Niño development adds a modest upward bias to baseline temperatures but does not override local convective variability that traders weigh against official forecast updates.